Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.478733 0.526832 0.578495 0.638250 0.705626 0.779436 0.866671
2025-10-19 0.402615 0.469592 0.546795 0.642948 0.760303 0.899908 1.080094
2025-10-26 0.357927 0.433841 0.525571 0.645744 0.800756 0.996354 1.265674
2025-11-02 0.327307 0.409057 0.511650 0.651707 0.840842 1.091661 1.456789
2025-11-09 0.295830 0.378889 0.486349 0.638071 0.850874 1.145111 1.594321
2025-11-16 0.277271 0.363231 0.477632 0.644325 0.886691 1.235525 1.793432
2025-11-23 0.257982 0.344568 0.462641 0.639469 0.904835 1.300672 1.960926
2025-11-30 0.244033 0.331909 0.454523 0.643004 0.934587 1.384901 2.167782
2025-12-07 0.228272 0.315358 0.439300 0.634201 0.943877 1.437112 2.327175
2025-12-14 0.214541 0.300685 0.425553 0.626112 0.952881 1.488796 2.491134
2025-12-21 0.198735 0.281886 0.404274 0.604376 0.937398 1.497388 2.577630
2025-12-28 0.192565 0.277057 0.403711 0.615268 0.976539 1.602882 2.858225
2026-01-04 0.186002 0.271341 0.401562 0.623687 1.012787 1.708270 3.157145
2026-01-11 0.178931 0.264400 0.397001 0.627687 1.041633 1.803405 3.450868
2026-01-18 0.172195 0.257538 0.392029 0.630416 1.068149 1.896663 3.755149
2026-01-25 0.166608 0.252148 0.389039 0.636208 1.100604 2.004791 4.109888
2026-02-01 0.157831 0.241082 0.375923 0.622962 1.095636 2.036970 4.295424
2026-02-08 0.153243 0.236637 0.373646 0.629038 1.128440 2.150461 4.693976
2026-02-15 0.147086 0.229240 0.365858 0.624320 1.139290 2.218396 4.991807
2026-02-22 0.142727 0.224632 0.362595 0.627754 1.166787 2.325547 5.410202
2026-03-01 0.136717 0.216904 0.353407 0.619203 1.168624 2.375248 5.684265
2026-03-08 0.131201 0.209769 0.344890 0.611344 1.171179 2.426797 5.973323
2026-03-15 0.124021 0.199429 0.330101 0.590224 1.143459 2.404059 6.045310